What is the probability of getting pregnant on the fourth day of ovulation?

Nov 14, 2025 Source: Cainiu Health
Dr. Zhang Lu
Introduction
If a woman ovulates precisely, the egg typically survives for 12–24 hours after ovulation. By the fourth day of the ovulation period, the egg is highly likely to have lost its fertilization capability, significantly reducing the chance of pregnancy from intercourse at this time. Under these circumstances, even if sperm can survive in the body for 2–3 days, it is difficult for them to meet a viable egg, resulting in a low probability of conception.

Generally, the probability of pregnancy on the fourth day of the ovulation period is relatively low, but it is not entirely impossible. The exact likelihood depends on factors such as egg survival time and sperm viability. If concerned, it is advisable to consult a healthcare provider in advance. Detailed analysis is as follows:

If a woman ovulates precisely, the released egg typically survives for 12–24 hours. By the fourth day of the ovulation period, the egg is likely no longer capable of being fertilized, significantly reducing the chance of pregnancy from intercourse at this time. Under these circumstances, even if sperm can survive in the body for 2–3 days, successful fertilization with a viable egg becomes unlikely, resulting in a low probability of conception.

However, if ovulation occurs later than expected or if the egg survives longer than usual (in rare cases up to 48 hours), the fourth day of the ovulation period may still fall within the window when the egg can be fertilized. In such cases, if sperm are highly motile and successfully reach the fallopian tubes, there remains a certain chance of pregnancy. Additionally, unexpected secondary ovulation may further increase the possibility of conception.

To assess individual pregnancy probability, one should consider their own ovulation patterns. If pregnancy is not currently desired, contraception is recommended during intercourse at any time. For those trying to conceive, tracking ovulation can improve conception efficiency. Seek medical advice promptly if any abnormalities occur.

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